Evidence-grounded geopolitical risk forecasting
A hybrid platform combining forecasting, retrieved evidence, and structured reasoning to produce source-traceable geopolitical risk assessments.
Enter PlatformAnalytical Pipeline
Forecast Output
For a selected territory, the platform returns forward-looking risk scenarios across 30-, 90-, and 180-day horizons. Each scenario includes a probability estimate, a short narrative, and linked supporting evidence.
The report is structured for comparison and traceability, pairing scenario outputs with source references and clear uncertainty signals.
User Workflow
The workflow starts with territory selection, either by choosing countries directly or defining an area on the map. That scope is then used to gather relevant evidence and prepare the analysis.
Retrieved material and model outputs are combined into a final report designed to be reviewable, structured, and easy to revisit.
Three-Layer Architecture
The platform is organized into three core layers: forecasting, retrieval, and reasoning. Together they combine quantitative signals with relevant source material to support scenario generation.
The layered design keeps evidence handling and report generation separate, making the system easier to inspect, refine, and evaluate over time.
Multi-Agent Reasoning
Three coordinated agents handle drafting, review, and synthesis. This setup is intended to pressure-test the analysis before it is assembled into the final report.
The process emphasizes grounded outputs by tying the report back to retrieved evidence rather than relying on free-form generation alone.
Retrieval-Augmented Generation
The retrieval pipeline indexes material from multiple open sources and filters results to the countries included in the selected scope.
Retrieved evidence is paired with forecast features so the model can generate reports that stay aligned with the chosen territory and available source material.
Data Sources
The platform draws on official and institutional datasets across five categories, giving the analysis a reproducible evidence base.
Named Asset Grounding
Dedicated asset sources are checked on every run before named assets are rendered.
Run An Analysis
Define a territory, frame an objective, and generate an evidence-grounded risk assessment with traceable source material.
Enter Platform